Unlocking Financial Mastery in Small Business Success

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In the dynamic world of small business, maintaining a robust and healthy cash flow is the lifeblood that fuels sustainable growth and long-term success. Imagine easily steering your business through these unpredictable waters, fortified by smart strategies that stabilize your financial inflows and outflows and prepare you for unexpected financial tides.

Whether you’re looking to renegotiate payment terms to gain a financial edge or harness customer feedback to refine your offerings, the right tactics can transform how you manage your business finances. Today, New Century Dynamics shares this comprehensive guide to help empower you to optimize cash flow, reduce high-interest burdens, and strategically invest in your business’s future, all while enhancing your financial acumen through practical learning opportunities.

Crafting Winning Payment Strategies

 

Maintaining a healthy cash flow is crucial for the success of your small business. One effective way to ensure this is by strategically negotiating payment terms with your suppliers. Understanding the market position of your suppliers can give you an edge in these negotiations. For example, if a supplier is under financial pressure, they might be open to offering discounts for early payments, which can benefit your cash flow. Building a strong relationship with your suppliers can further enhance your negotiating power, allowing for more favorable terms. Utilizing tools like Cargoflip can also help you manage and track payments efficiently, optimizing your cash outflows.

Empowering Your Financial Acumen with Education

Earning an online accounting degree can significantly boost your financial knowledge, equipping you with the skills necessary to maintain a healthy cash flow for your small business. The benefits of a bachelor’s accounting degree include allowing you to specialize in areas like managerial accounting and accounting research, enabling you to make more strategic financial decisions. Studying online offers greater flexibility, making it easier to balance your business responsibilities with learning. This convenient approach allows you to select world-class programs without the need to relocate or disrupt your daily operations.

Discovering Hidden Patterns in Cash Flow

To make informed financial decisions, it’s essential to analyze your business’s historical financial records. By doing so, you can identify patterns and trends in cash flow that can guide your strategic planning. For instance, recognizing seasonal variations in cash inflows and outflows can help you anticipate future cash flow challenges. This foresight ensures you have the necessary funds to cover operational costs and seize growth opportunities. If you notice increased cash inflow during specific months, it indicates potential seasonal demand surges, allowing you to plan your finances accordingly. This approach not only enhances your forecasting accuracy but also optimizes your cash management strategies for sustained financial health – click here to learn more.

Streamlining Finances with Expense Organization

Organizing your business expenses into operating costs, payroll, and marketing categories can provide valuable insights into your spending patterns. This practice allows you to pinpoint areas where costs can be reduced or streamlined. Accounting software can automate this process, ensuring accuracy and saving you time by applying predefined categorization rules. Regularly evaluating these categories also aids in creating precise budgets and forecasts, helping you plan effectively for future financial needs. This proactive approach not only enhances your financial control but also ensures compliance with tax regulations.

Elevating Products and Loyalty Through Feedback

Leveraging customer feedback is key to refining your products and encouraging repeat business. By analyzing customer feedback, you can identify areas for improvement, leading to better product offerings that resonate with your market. Successful businesses often see a significant increase in customer satisfaction by actively incorporating feedback into their development processes, which also boosts customer retention rates. Engaging your customers in the product evolution process demonstrates your commitment to their needs and fosters loyalty, ultimately stabilizing your cash flow and setting your business on a path for sustained growth and competitive advantage.

Slashing Interest with Debt Management

Formulating a structured debt repayment strategy targeting high-interest debts can significantly reduce overall interest expenses. By prioritizing debts with higher interest rates, you can tackle the most expensive obligations first, saving money in the long run. This method is particularly beneficial for small businesses looking to maximize financial efficiency and foster growth, as it minimizes the financial drain caused by high-interest payments. Regularly reviewing your budget to adjust this repayment plan ensures it remains effective as your financial situation evolves. This proactive approach aids immediate financial stability and forms a solid foundation for sustainable business expansion. Check out the avalanche method for more insights.

Aligning Investments for Continued Prosperity

To ensure your small business thrives in a constantly shifting market, it’s crucial to periodically assess and adjust your investment strategy. Regular reviews allow you to gauge how well your investments align with your business objectives and current market conditions, fostering financial stability. By analyzing market trends and economic indicators, you can make informed decisions that support sustainable growth and mitigate risks associated with market volatility. Additionally, enlisting the help of financial advisors can offer you specialized insights and personalized recommendations, providing an edge in fine-tuning your strategy for optimal returns.

Embracing these strategies not only fortifies your cash flow but also transforms financial management from a daunting task into an empowering tool for innovation and resilience. Your small business stands at the brink of potential – where informed decisions and strategic foresight meet to cultivate growth opportunities. By weaving these practices into the fabric of your operations, you’re crafting a narrative of enduring success, one where each financial maneuver propels your business toward a brighter, more prosperous future. So seize this moment to elevate your business acumen and cultivate a thriving financial ecosystem, where every choice you make today shapes a legacy of sustainable success!

Discover how New Century Dynamics can elevate your executive search and business strategy, celebrating 25 years of unmatched client service! Call 770-354-2817.

Thank you for visiting our blog.

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

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Taking Control of Your Finances: Tips for Small Business Owners

As a small business owner, you have to wear many hats. You are the CEO, the CFO, and the HR director all in one. It can be overwhelming if you don’t know how to manage your finances effectively. New Century Dynamics has put together some tips to help make financial management easier for small business owners.

Set Your Target Business Growth Goals

In addition to creating a budget, it is important to set specific goals for your business growth. Think about where you want your business to be one, two, and three years down the road. Create short-term and long-term goals for revenue growth, profitability, cash flow, and other areas of your business that need improvement. Make sure that all of your goals are measurable and achievable. Once you have set these goals, it will be easier to develop a budget plan for achieving them. This will help you prioritize certain investments or areas of focus that will help propel your business forward.

Planning a Budget and Evaluating it Regularly

Creating and following a budget is essential for any small business owner. This will help you manage your cash flow and ensure that you are making appropriate investments in your business. Be sure to reevaluate your budget regularly so that it is up-to-date and reflects any changes in your financial situation.

Choosing a Dependable Accounting Platform

Having an accurate accounting platform is key when running any type of business. This will help you manage your finances and track business performance. Consider choosing software that is easy to use and integrates with other tools for data analysis. Investing in a reliable accounting platform that integrates with other platforms will save time and money while also helping ensure accuracy when it comes to managing finances.

Selecting a POS Platform to Aid with Inventory Management

If you run an eCommerce store or retail space, then investing in a good POS system is essential as well. A POS system can help you manage inventory and streamline the checkout process for customers. This will in turn make your business more efficient and increase sales. Look for one that includes features like inventory management so that tracking items in stock is easier while also highlighting which products need restocking or adjusting pricing based on current demand levels.

Partnering with an Accountant

Managing financial matters can often be quite challenging, so having the experienced guidance of an accountant at your disposal is invaluable. Their expertise allows for a thorough check that income and outgoings add up correctly while providing valuable advice on how to make the best use of market conditions to improve profitability. Furthermore, as they are well-versed with all necessary taxes regulations related to running a business where you operate, employing their services during tax season could prove essential.

Get Organized with Project Management Software

Investing in cloud-based project management software can be a game-changer for businesses looking to stay on top of their necessary tasks and projects. With the ability to access project information from anywhere, team members can collaborate and communicate more efficiently. Cloud-based project management software also offers real-time updates, task scheduling and tracking, and automated reporting. By implementing this technology, businesses can streamline their workflow and increase productivity. Check this out for more info on how cloud-based project management software can benefit your business.

Being successful as a small business owner requires financial expertise, organization, and strategic planning skills — but luckily there are tools available today that make managing finances easier than ever before. With careful preparation such as setting clear goals, using dependable accounting software, choosing suitable POS systems, partnering with reliable accountants, and investing in automated project management platforms, small business owners will find it easier than ever before to take control of their overall finances.

By following these tips, you can get a better grip on your financial situation and make decisions that position your company for success. With the right preparation, small businesses can achieve their goals and grow with confidence.

Thank you for visiting our blog.

 

Jim Weber, Managing Partner – ITB Partners

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

I hope you enjoyed our point of view and would like to receive regular posts directly to your email inbox.  Toward this end, put your contact information on my mailing list.

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Still No Plan to Sell Your Company? Do you Even Know What It’s Worth?

 

David Shavzin

When do I start my exit planning and how much is my company worth? We have gotten these questions for decades, especially from Baby Boomers. Sometimes it comes across casually: “So what do you think, should I start my exit plan 2 years ahead, maybe 3 years ahead?”

 

 

They often ask knowing the answer. They are trying to make themselves feel better because they haven’t created an exit plan and they know they should have started it long ago. They don’t know what their company is worth, but often get some outsized value stuck in their mind. If I respond that waiting until 24 months ahead of the sale is ok, they can let themselves off the hook for not having an exit plan or succession plan in place.

We talk to hundreds of business owners.

    • Some say they are tired and would like to get out. They do not want to put in much more time or invest in building the value of the company. Yet, they are not satisfied with what it is worth today.
    • Some family businesses have put off building a succession plan for a generation-to-generation transfer. They may feel they have time, or they may feel that their children (children often in their 30’s and 40’s) are “not ready yet”. They may fear losing an income stream as they transition out of the business.
    • Some are simply working the business, taking no time to develop an exit plan that could dramatically increase the value of the business when it comes time to sell.

 If any of these ring true for you, there are many potential solutions to address your concerns and situation. Take the first step and have a conversation with all involved. A good advisory team can help guide those exit plan discussions and provide an objective, experienced perspective. There are so many business exit options.

If you do have just a few years, there are a number of things you can do to optimize your exit and get everyone on the same page. But “2 – 3 years” is NOW, especially if you are a business owner in your 50s, 60s, 70s, or older. You have heard when talking about stocks that you can’t time the market. It’s the same thing for your business. And remember, the sale process itself can take 6 or 9 months to a year or more from start to finish.

With all of what’s going on out there in the world, a plan is critical to monetizing your life’s work! A sudden downturn could keep you captive in your business for another few years as you try to rebuild.

 Questions to ask yourself:

    • Do you know the value of your business? Don’t rely on a value that is some industry multiple or that sounds reasonable or what you’d like. Get professional assistance. This is your life, livelihood, and retirement.
    • When do you want to be completely or mostly out of the business?
    • Can you wait out the next downturn? If you are thinking of a 2- to 3-year timeframe, what if the economy slows down? Can you wait another few years to rebuild the value of your business? What do you really need out of the sale?
    • Do you have a solid plan for what you will do after your exit?

 By the Way, It’s NOT all about YOU!

Without an exit plan, you are not just risking your own retirement or next phase of life. You are putting in jeopardy your spouse, children, their families, your employees, their families, and more. Share on X

The message is simple: work with your advisors now to get a good understanding of your situation. The more informed you are, the better positioned you will be to create an exit plan that works for you, maximize value and minimize risk. You will leave the legacy that you want, not what others want. You will create your future!

Need to Get an Idea of Where You Stand on Business Value and Your Options?

David Shavzin, CMC
Founder, The Value Track
M&A Advisory, Exit Planning, Building Value
770-329-5224
david@GetOnTheValueTrack.com
Atlanta, Georgia
Our BLOG  // LinkedIn // www.GetOnTheValueTrack.com

Thank you for visiting our blog.

 

Jim Weber – President
New Century Dynamics Executive Search

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

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Keep Your Projections Realistic: How Small Business Owners Can Realistically Prepare Their Finances

Whether you are a seasoned small business owner or the founder of a startup company, you have a lot of decisions to make. Choosing how to fund your company is one of the first decisions to make. To fund your company and stabilize your financial health, business owners need a realistic financial projection. With a few tips from ITB Partners, you can learn how to create your projections.

Why Emphasize the Importance of Financial Projection

Without a financial projection, you may feel the burden of financial uncertainty. You are more likely to feel overwhelmed by unexpected costs. Accurate projections allow you to make strategic decisions. For example, a realistic idea of your financial situation allows you to know whether you can afford to hire or fire employees or invest in new products.

If you do not create a financial projection, you may not know your expected business income and cannot calculate your business’s taxes for the year. Many states require you to file an annual report every year. The annual report informs interested individuals about the financial successes and failures of public entities, non-profit organizations, and private corporations. The majority of states require you to file a report and pay taxes to remain compliant with local laws and to remain in good standing. In some instances, you could face penalties in the form of fees or business revocation if you do not follow the rules, so it’s best to get expert help when filing your annual report.

How to Create a Realistic Projection

To create a realistic projection, you may want to create a template. Your template should include the following documents:

    • Sales forecast
    • Payroll costs
    • Cash flow
    • Operating expenses
    • Income statements
    • Break-even analysis
    • Cost of goods
    • Balance sheet
    • Depreciation for your business

Instead of falling into the trap of being too optimistic or too cautious, create two scenarios. One scenario can be optimistic, while the other stays cautious. Give yourself the freedom to create multiple different scenarios. Do not guess the top-line number for your sales channel. Instead, outline each step of your process. Identify the market, estimate the percentage of the market you aim to meet through marketing and estimate how many will visit your business and make a purchase. Next, make an estimate of how much individuals may spend on average.

Your financial plan should not be static. Constant Contact suggests reviewing your plan at least once per year. You cannot always prepare for every situation, but you should reassess and take most events into consideration. If you plan to make a large purchase in the future, you may also want to reassess.

How to Simplify Your Financial Projection

A simplified projection includes a balance sheet. This is an overview of your company’s financial health. Include your assets, owner’s equity, and liabilities. You should split the balance sheet to have assets on one side and owner’s equity and liabilities on the other.

To make it simple, work with a professional who understands the industry. For instance, working with an accountant will help you realistically predict your expenses, profits, and sales. Utilize premade templates and software that allow you to input numbers and finish the projection seamlessly.

Using Accounting Software for More Accurate Projections

Creating projections can be a time-consuming and complicated process, especially if you don't have experience with bookkeeping or accounting. This is where accounting software can be a big help. Share on X For example, if you run a construction business, construction accounting software can automate many of the tasks involved in creating financial projections, saving you a lot of time and hassle. And because it can help you track your actual results against your projections, you can quickly identify any discrepancies and make necessary adjustments. This software also allows you to manage job costs and contractors.

When it comes to making financial decisions for your company, a realistic financial projection is critical. Make sure to understand its importance, think realistically, utilize accounting software, and simplify the process as much as possible.

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Thank you for visiting our blog.

 

Jim Weber, Managing Partner – ITB Partners

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

I hope you enjoyed our point of view and would like to receive regular posts directly to your email inbox.  Toward this end, put your contact information on my mailing list.

Your feedback helps me continue to publish articles that you want to read.  Your input is very important to me so; please leave a comment.

Before You Start a Business, Consider This!

So, you want to own a business.  You have an idea for a product or service that the market needs. You want to be rich.  You have studied other successful startups and understand the factors for success.  You have moved past friends and family who have tried to dissuade you from your goal.  You have the funds and a plan to get your business off the ground. You are confident of success.  But have you considered everything you need to know?

Many successful entrepreneurs begin by forming a Board of Directors.     An Advisory Board will provide a broader perspective, improving the effectiveness of your decisions.   The advice you receive will minimize costly mistakes which could otherwise doom your business. Board members may receive a stipend, or they may be volunteers. Voluntary advisory boards have become commonplace for many startups. Talking with organizations like Score and finding a mentor are additional resources to consider.

Find Low-Cost Ways to Advertise

Now Hear This!

Getting the word out about your business doesn’t need to cost much money. Begin by establishing an online presence. Potential customers will want to visit your website.  Be proactive.  Provide answers to common questions, making it easier to convert their interest into sales.  If you have not done so already, create social media channels for your brand. Facebook and Twitter are popular places to start. Depending on the demographics of your target market, you may want to try others, too. If you are targeting older individuals, a direct mail campaign could be the most cost-effective solution.

Consider Running a Special

 To increase the probability of generating a sale, offer a special one-time deal, like a two-for-one promotion or a gift. You might do the same for current customers who refer friends or family members. When someone purchases your product or services, please give them a reason to continue trading with you.  Consider offering discounts for future purchases. These sales tactics can kickstart your business and give you the financial boost you seek.

Determine Which Functions to Outsource

 Savvy entrepreneurs know that managing labor is a critical component for success.  They live by the principle of “do what you do best and let others do the rest.”  We are fortunate to live in a time when we can contract relatively inexpensive outside resources.  To ensure accuracy and minimize risk, outsourcing financial management and payroll is advisable. Outsourcing recovers time to focus on more urgent tasks. Using an automatic payroll solution provides other benefits, like automatic calculations and paying taxes. Payroll apps are  available for both iOS and Android. Taking on too much responsibility can lead to burnout and costly mistakes. Think about outsourcing to reduce stress and improve your productivity.

 

 Improve Your Business Acumen

 As your business grows, your focus will shift to your management and leadership skills. Taking college-level business courses or earning an MBA could be a difference-maker. Unlike a traditional college experience, online degree programs make it easier to maintain your business while you learn.  Continually update your skills to ensure long-term success.

Adjust Your Business Plan as Needed

Although business plans look good on paper, actual results seldom unfold as envisioned. You must monitor your results consistently and adjust accordingly. Share on X Be flexible and willing to take steps to keep your company on track.

Financial setbacks can happen to anyone.  They can be incredibly distracting when you are trying to establish a new business. You may feel discouraged and lose confidence in yourself. Well-meaning family and friends may pressure you to get a traditional job and forgo your dreams altogether.  Don’t let setbacks discourage you from pursuing your dreams of entrepreneurship.  Expect to suffer difficult situations.  Build contingencies into your plan to weather challenging times.

New Century Dynamics provides excellent executive search and management consulting to the service industry. To learn how New Century Dynamics can help your business, contact James E. Weber at JimWeber@newcenturydynamics.com.

Derek Goodman

derek.goodman@inbizability.com

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Thank you for visiting our blog.

 

Jim Weber, Managing Partner – ITB Partners

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

I hope you enjoyed our point of view and would like to receive regular posts directly to your email inbox.  Toward this end, put your contact information on my mailing list.

Your feedback helps me continue to publish articles that you want to read.  Your input is very important to me so; please leave a comment.

 

 

 

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Market Outlook: 4500 or Higher? Market Commentary – July 19th, 2021

Many are convinced that a US stock market correction, or even a bear market, is inevitable.  So, when the S&P 500 was down 1.6% last Thursday, many thought it had arrived.  Then, the S&P 500 rebounded and hit a new all-time high on Friday.  Now, as I write this article the premarket numbers are down big yet again today. Tomorrow the market may rebound…

This does not mean the market always goes up.  It doesn’t mean that the government is not creating future problems.  But, I don’t try to time the market.  What I do is focus on fundamentals, like profits and interest rates.  And right now, I believe the S&P 500 is still undervalued.

Late last year, when the S&P 500 was at 3,638, I used those fundamentals to project a year-end 2021 target of 4,200, for an increase of 15.4%.  However, with profits returning toward normal even faster than I had anticipated, the S&P 500 hit 4,185 in mid-April and I upped my projection to 4,500, which would be a full-year gain of about 19%.

Now, with the S&P 500 just 3% from my target, I’m choosing to stand pat.  Why?  I do not want to leave the impression that we are traders, shifting our target over and over.  We are investors.  It’s the long-term that matters.  The US stock market has been undervalued relative to our Capitalized Profits Model since 2009.

My model takes the government’s measure of economy-wide profits from the GDP reports, discounted by the 10-year US Treasury note yield, to calculate fair value.  If we use a 10-year Treasury yield of 1.36% (Friday’s closing yield) to discount profits (from the first quarter, the most recent available), then my model suggests the S&P 500 is 45% undervalued.  And with profits likely to grow 20% or more this year, fair value will rise more as the year unfolds.

Right now, the Fed is artificially holding interest rates down across the yield curve.  So, when I calculate our estimate of fair value, I use a 2.0% 10-year yield. Using this 2.0% rate gives us a fair value of 5,240.  It would take a 10-year yield of about 2.4% for our model to show that the stock market is currently trading at fair value (with no increase in profits.)  If rates do rise, because the economy is stronger than the Fed expects, it would likely be accompanied by even faster profit growth.

I fully understand that current monetary policy is inflationary, and that past government spending, plus what some politicians are asking for right now has lifted US Federal debt above 100% of GDP.

These policies could shift economic growth, the level of interest rates, and my estimate of the fair value of stocks in the years ahead.  But for the foreseeable future, re-opening, easy money, and deficit spending are all pushing economic growth and profits up.  With the Fed holding rates down and profits booming, and with our model saying stocks are undervalued, I remain bullish.  And right now I think if our 4,500 target is wrong, it is likely too low.

Integrated Financial Group

Kevin Garrett – Integrated Financial Group

My firm specializes in working with people that experience what we call “Sudden Income.” Typically the income came from one of these events:
1) Accessing and Managing Retirement Assets
2) A Performance Contract (Typically a Sports or Entertainment Contract)
3) Divorce Settlement
4) Inheritance or Insurance Payout
5) Sale of a Business or Stock Options
6) A Personal Injury Settlement

I believe the unique nature of these events requires specialized professional experience, empathy, and communication to deal with both the financial changes and the life changes that inevitably come with them.

My clients value my ability to simplify complex strategies into actionable plans. They also appreciate that I am open, non-judging, and easy to talk to about their dreams and fears. Each client defines financial success differently and my goal is to guide them from where they are now to where they want to be. As my client’s advisor, my goal is to provide them with a lifetime income stream, improving returns, protecting their funds, and managing taxes.

Firm Specialties:

    • Retirement Planning For Business Owners & Executives
    • Woman’s Unique Financial Planning Needs
    • Professional Athletes
    • Investment/Asset Allocation Advice
    • Estate Planning
    • Risk Management
    • Strategic Planning

Kevin was listed in The Wall Street Journal as “One of the Financial Advisors In The Southeast That You Need To Know”

Kevin was listed in Forbes Magazine’s Annual Financial Edition as a Five Star Financial Advisor

Kevin has been awarded the Five Star Professional Wealth Manager in Atlanta Magazine in 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017,2018, and 2019.

Award based on 10 objective criteria associated with providing quality services to clients such as credentials, experience, and assets under management among other factors. Wealth managers do not pay a fee to be considered or placed on the final list of Five Star Wealth Managers.

KEVIN GARRETT, AWMA, CFS
Integrated Financial Group
200 Ashford Center North, Ste. 400 | Atlanta, GA 30338
Phone | 770.353.6311
Email | kgarrett@intfingroup.com
Website | kevingarrettifg.com

 

Thank you for visiting our Blog!

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

Jim Weber – Managing Partner, ITB Partners

I hope you enjoyed our point of view and would like to receive regular posts directly to your email inbox.  Toward this end, put your contact information on my mailing list.

Your feedback helps me continue to publish articles that you want to read.  Your input is very important to me so; please leave a comment.

 

 

 

 

 

The Return of Inflation Market Commentary – March 15th, 2021

Inflation is not dead. It is not gone. It has not been tamed. I know it seems like it, especially after the past few decades which generated in many an “inflation-complacency” that feels justified. After all, following the 2008 Financial Panic, many predicted Quantitative Easing would cause hyper-inflation.

When the Fed boosted the Monetary Base by more than $3 trillion dollars during Quantitative Easing 1, 2 & 3, and the federal budget moved to a huge deficit, gold and silver commercials proliferated. So did predictions of a collapsing dollar. But inflation never came. Since the end of the 2008-09 financial panic, the Consumer Price Index has increased by an average of just 1.7% per year, falling short of the Fed’s 2% target.

During the 2020 COVID-induced round of Fed money printing, instead of using QE to put reserves in the banking system, the Fed financed government programs to fund loans to businesses and direct payments to individuals. As a result, the money supply as measured by M2 has grown 26.3% in the past year, the fastest annual growth I can find in US history, and roughly double the pace of M2 growth the US experienced during the 1970s.

According to those who believe in Modern Monetary Theory – (which isn’t all that modern, btw), and is just vaguely a theory – the US can increase real output enough to absorb it. In other words, they say that while inflation is “too much money chasing too few goods” – they expect the output of goods to increase enough to keep inflation low.

I find this impossible to believe. In fact, I think many are living in denial. Inflation is already on the rise. In the past six months, the Consumer Price Index is up 3.6% at an annual rate and if it rises a modest 0.2% per month between January and May, it will be up 3.4% over 12 months. Part of this is because COVID shutdowns led to weak inflation in early 2020, but I expect inflation to move higher in 2021.

But, in addition to M2 growth, incomes and savings have increased, while production has not. Demand is exceeding supply. All personal income combined – wages & salaries, employee benefits, small business income, rents, interest, dividends, and transfer payments – was up 6.3% in 2020 versus 2019. Total after-tax income was up 7.2% in 2020, the most for any year since 2000.

Combined, Americans saved about $2.9 trillion in 2020, more than doubling the previous record high of $1.2 trillion in 2018. As of the third quarter of 2020, the amount Americans held in checking accounts, savings accounts, time deposits, and money market funds was up $2.8 trillion from the year prior. Add another $1.9 trillion in federal government stimulus spending (borrowing from the future, to spend today) and the US is awash in cash.

Unfortunately, in spite of a strong recovery in output, industrial production is 3.3% below pre-COVID levels, while real GDP is 2.5% below. In other words, demand is OK, it is supply that’s still hurting – a perfect recipe for inflation.

All this money printing threatens to eventually create a sugar high in equities. We aren’t there yet, but markets are floating on a sea of new money. Inflation hedges (real estate, commodities, materials companies) will do well. Traditional fixed income (long-term bonds) is at risk. The return of inflation is a very real threat to the long-term health of the US economy, and something you will hear me talking about more in the months ahead..

Integrated Financial Group

Kevin Garrett – Integrated Financial Group

My firm specializes in working with people that experience what we call “Sudden Income.” Typically the income came from one of these events:
1) Accessing and Managing Retirement Assets
2) A Performance Contract (Typically a Sports or Entertainment Contract)
3) Divorce Settlement
4) Inheritance or Insurance Payout
5) Sale of a Business or Stock Options
6) A Personal Injury Settlement

I believe the unique nature of these events requires specialized professional experience, empathy, and communication to deal with both the financial changes and the life changes that inevitably come with them.

My clients value my ability to simplify complex strategies into an actionable plan. They also appreciate that I am open, non-judging, and easy to talk to about their dreams and fears. Each client defines financial success differently and my goal is to guide them from where they are now to where they want to be. As my client’s advisor, my goal is to provide them with a lifetime income stream, improving returns, protecting their funds, and managing taxes.

Firm Specialties:

    • Retirement Planning For Business Owners & Executives
    • Woman’s Unique Financial Planning Needs
    • Professional Athletes
    • Investment/Asset Allocation Advice
    • Estate Planning
    • Risk Management
    • Strategic Planning

Kevin was listed in The Wall Street Journal as “One of the Financial Advisors In The Southeast That You Need To Know”

Kevin was listed in Forbes Magazine’s Annual Financial Edition as a Five Star Financial Advisor

Kevin has been awarded the Five Star Professional Wealth Manager in Atlanta Magazine in 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017,2018, and 2019.

Award based on 10 objective criteria associated with providing quality services to clients such as credentials, experience, and assets under management among other factors. Wealth managers do not pay a fee to be considered or placed on the final list of Five Star Wealth Managers.

KEVIN GARRETT, AWMA, CFS
Integrated Financial Group
200 Ashford Center North, Ste. 400 | Atlanta, GA 30338
Phone | 770.353.6311
Email | kgarrett@intfingroup.com
Website | kevingarrettifg.com

 

Scared – A New Post on Strategic Planning from Stephen H. Dawson, DSL

Fear is nothing more than an acronym: False-Evidence-Appearing-Real.” Unknown

A friend of mine passed a week ago. He worked himself to death, literally. He worked 80 to 90 hour weeks intermittently for the past 15 years. He was quite good at what he did, but he overdid it to the point of costing him his life. His passing helped me remember to not work so hard but to work smarter each day so I can work less overall.

I shared last week about the concept of spending time to gain the required perspective to go about the necessary work you have at hand. I thought more over the past few days about the fear I saw in 2020 held by many folks both near and far and how it often played out into anger by acting as a defense mechanism. I put down fear decades ago by learning from the wisdom held by one of my first mentors. “Fear is nothing more than an acronym: False-Evidence-Appearing-Real.” Fear occurs during a state of confusion about facts. Fear is not scared, nor is it anxiety. Anxiety can cause confusion, but scared alone is not anxiety. Scared is known by the paralysis it causes in someone who is scared. Anxiety is a slow wear on the whole person. Meaning, scared is a present tense term.

Anxiety

I saw an episode in a situation comedy television show years ago that grips me to this day. Frankly, it scared me stiff. It scared me because I saw how accomplishing all of the work conceivable to be wise does not assure success. My friend who died recently was one of my mentors. He helped guide me through my graduate and postgraduate years. He was a wise man. A coach is not a mentor. Suffice it to say, one has to succeed in receiving mentoring first to succeed in receiving coaching. I prefer mentoring over coaching, for many reasons. We can cover the differences between coaching and mentoring in a future column.

I received comments regarding the column last week that matched the next healthy step in the strategic planning work. The step we are at now is knowing the defined strategy that needs to be planned. There is an intentional circular effort in strategy where an idea is formed and research occurs to support developing the idea. The strategy is then refined, perhaps redefined, then planned, then perhaps refined and redefined again, to its final planning, and then executed by way of strategy process realization. This circular effort is not unique to strategy. There is a research condition known as analysis paralysis. Essentially, too much analysis is occurring to the point the research is stalled by figurative paralysis. There is much work occurring to accomplish the strategy effort, perhaps with good intentions. However, the collective work effort is not advancing by realizing clear and healthy organizational growth. Things are stuck. This research condition is not unique to strategy. The best action to resolve analysis paralysis is to stop the research work. Take inventory of where the work stands, determine the clear facts held, and assess if the work is worth continuing at the time with the people assigned to the work.

We realized earlier we were going to an unknown destination, deciding we did not like that address. We took some time and breathed, gaining the necessary focus to begin the planning work. You wonder if the idea outlining your proposed strategy has merit. What exactly is the strategy we are to plan out for others to follow? You now do not know the defined strategy that needs to be planned. You cannot proceed to the intentional circular effort in strategy. We have come to the realization you are now scared, as you are unsure of your idea forming your strategy. Hence, fear pushes this person to be scared. How do I know you are scared? I know because you do not have the research to support planning your strategy. If you did, then you would not be reading this column.

I view there are three options available to resolve this matter.

QUITTING

The act of quitting can be called regrouping. I call this equivalence a falsehood. Quitting is quitting, and regrouping is regrouping. If one does not want to develop a strategy, then say it. The decision to quit is not about some type of size or power. It is about being unwilling to look at the problem and resolve it productively. Move on, do something else. If shame or embarrassment go with quitting, then that is part of the package. Jimmy Dugan in A League of Their Own said it well. “It’s supposed to be hard…The hard is what makes it great.”

DENYING

The thought of not having a strategy to fulfill a goal is an excellent means to have followers walk away from their leader. These followers do not know what work they should be accomplishing, how they will benefit from whatever work they do, guess what they should do next, believe their leader has a plan, and wonder why their leader cannot communicate the unknown plan being executed. They deny the reality their leader is not leading by believing they are executing a plan they have not been given to follow. This condition is where the credibility loss for the leader occurs and ends their time in leadership.

Denying

FACING

If bravery is doing what is necessary when afraid, then strategy work is an act of bravery. I have not known a successful leader either first-hand or by distance who has not been afraid at some point in their leadership work. Afraid is not fear. Afraid is a healthy response to danger. A crucial success factor for the strategist I defined as successful was their not letting fear be a part of their work. False-Evidence-Appearing-Real. Those leaders worked to gain facts by eliminating opinions not supported by facts. If a tree is known by its fruit, then a tree is a good example of work productivity. Be the proverbial tree you were meant to be by putting down roots and taking the time to do the work needed to grow your harvest.

It is probable a person or organization new to strategic planning needs help with their work. I encourage you not to be either fearful or afraid of this need. I recommend you gain the help of a qualified strategist. Review their credentials, interview the credentials they provide to confirm their work, and select a strategist to help you.

What to buy, what to sell, what to change, are the easy parts of a strategy. They are easy because the accomplished research used to define your strategy reveals what to buy, sell, and change. The hard part of the strategy is knowing you know, for certain, what strategy first to form and then to execute. I say it is hard because of False-Evidence-Appearing-Real getting in the way of going about the strategy work. Looking back, you will be amazed at how simple your strategy is once it is defined. It is a matter of setting aside fear with each action you take.

I intentionally did not state the obvious point that many people are involved in any strategy formation shy of a person who lives alone. I set aside those living in solitude for the final point I bring to you for consideration this week. It is probable your analysis paralysis means you have someone, perhaps several people, working on your strategy effort who do not hold the required qualifications to do the collective work you need to accomplish. Does this scare you? It should. It means you are not willing to stay paralyzed. Scared is known by the paralysis it causes in someone who is scared. Meaning, scared is a present tense term. We will talk next week about making people changes to your strategy work. Forget the realities of male versus female, older versus young, and skin color. Look at people from the perspective of the skills they hold to help accomplish their part of your strategy effort. Try to work through the thoughts of what it will take for you as their leader to separate the unproductive people assigned to your strategy work from the work you need to accomplish. There is no need to be fearful.

So, I ask you: where do you want to go? I hope your answer is to develop the plans necessary to accomplish the strategy you know you need to achieve to arrive at your desired destination. If this is the case, then let’s get to work. If not, then I wish you the best of everything.

I hope we will see each other here next week. Email me if you need to talk before then.

Dr. Stephen H. Dawson, DSL

Executive Strategy Consultant

Dr. Stephen H Dawson

Stephen Dawson is an executive consultant of technology and business strategy, serving significant international organizations by providing leadership consulting, strategic planning, and executive communications. He has more than thirty years of service and consulting experience in delivering successful international business development and program management outcomes in the US and SE Asia. His weekly column, “Where Do You Want To Go?,” appears on Thursdays.

Dr. Dawson has served in the technology, banking, and hospitality industries. He is a noted strategic planning visionary. His pursuit of music has been matched with his efforts to lead by service to followers. He holds the clear understanding a leader without followers is a person taking a long walk alone.

Stephen has lived his life in the eastern United States, visiting most of the United States and several countries. He is a graduate of the Regent University School of Business & Leadership. Contact him at service@shdawson.com.

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Jim Weber, Managing Partner – ITB Partners

Jim Weber – Managing Partner,  ITB Partners

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Key Items I’m Watching This Year Market Commentary – January 17, 2021

Now that we are a few weeks into the new year, I wanted to look forward a bit and briefly discuss some of the things I’m questioning and watching this year. I like to go through this process each year to force a review of my thinking and the strategies that come from those thoughts that I pass along to you.

Will stock concentration continue?
Five stocks represent a quarter of the S&P 500, which is the largest weighting for five stocks since the early 1970s. It’s hard seeing this continue, but it’s harder to come up with a reason why it won’t.

Will value come back?
Over the last 5 years, the Russell 1000 Value Index has grown by 9% a year. Not bad, except when you compare it to its growth counterpart, which has grown at 21% a year. Maybe we should be talking less about value being dead and more about growth being impossible to keep up with.

One of the reasons for the discrepancy in returns has to do with the difference in sector weights. Value has 29% fewer technology stocks and 26% more financials, industrials, and energy. The spread between value and growth on fundamental factors is as wide as it has been since 1999, and on some metrics, it’s even wider. But is it different this time? You cannot rule it out.

Will the stocks that benefited the most from Covid continue to outperform?
The world looks different today than it did a year ago. People are working from home, and they are wearing masks in the street. Some parts of our lives and some parts of the economy are changed forever. The question is, has the market already discounted all the change and then some?

Zoom, Peloton, Docusign, Teladoc, Shopify, and Wayfair gained an additional $300 billion in market cap this year. For comparison, that’s twice as much as the combined value of Delta, Las Vegas Sands, Marriott, Royal Caribbean, and Simon Property.

Again, the Covid beneficiaries added twice as much in market cap this year as the combined value of the badly hurt names by the virus. Did the market get this right? Does the gap narrow this year, or does it continue to widen?

Irrational Behavior
Investors went a little crazy this year. And I don’t mean in the way that Zoom gained $100 billion in market cap. That might be justified. But what investors did after Apple and Tesla announced that they were splitting their stocks was absolutely insane.

Apple announced a stock split on July 30th. On July 31st, the stock gained 10.5%. That was its second-best performing day of the last decade. $172 billion in additional market cap was added one day because investors were getting four shares for every 1 they had previously, with the price of their shares getting cut by 75%. In theory, this shouldn’t impact the value of a company. In reality, it really it did!

Will investors continue to ignore things like common sense? Investor behavior is impossible to predict, but I’m really looking forward to seeing whether or not 2021 is a continuation of what feels like irrational behavior because often such behavior ends badly.

Where does the Dollar Go? 
Maybe all that money printing is finally catching up with us. For the first time in a long time, the mighty dollar is starting to show signs of weakness. This has implications for the global economy and implications for U.S. investors.

A weaker dollar is good for gold and good for non-hedged foreign stocks. Gold quietly made an all-time high earlier in the year, and international stocks are showing signs of life, after doing a whole lot of nothing over the last decade.
International developed stocks (EFA), think Japan, United Kingdom, have only outperformed U.S. stocks once in the last 8 years. This is another one of those things that shouldn’t continue forever, but it’s hard to make the case why it wouldn’t.

Will we see more institutional adoption of Bitcoin/Cryptocurrencies?
Speaking of dollars, it has been a wild year for Bitcoin. Until recently, Grayscale’s Bitcoin was the only way for U.S. investors to access bitcoin in a listed fund. But recently, competition is showing up, providing investors more options.

Until now, Bitcoin/cryptocurrencies have been mostly a fringe asset and has not had a place in the portfolio of 99% of investors. What happens if institutional investors start to get involved?

Will the yield curve continue to steepen?
The yield curve, historically one of the most predictive economic indicators, went negative in 2019. That got a ton of attention at the time. Once again, it preceded a recession, albeit one that had nothing to do with the underlying economy. Be that as it may, right now it is at a 3-year high and I see few people talking about it.

A steeper yield curve, again, in theory, is good for economic growth and rising inflation expectations. With the Fed committed to keeping short-term rates low for the next few years, this may continue to widen, and maybe longer-term bonds start to outpace inflation.

And What About SPACs?
What Is a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC)? It is a company with no commercial operations that are formed strictly to raise capital through an initial public offering (IPO) for the purpose of acquiring an existing company.

Also known as “blank check companies,” SPACs have been around for decades. In recent years, they’ve become more popular, attracting big-name underwriters and investors and raising a record amount of IPO money in 2019. In 2020 SPACs raised $64 billion. And they’re just getting started.

According to Goldman Sachs, $61 billion in SPAC IPO proceeds are currently searching for acquisition targets. I cannot wait to see this. There are going to be some spectacularly bad deals come through.

It’s always hard to see things changing. And then along comes a year like 2020. Nobody had any of this on their list at the end of 2019. 2021 is sure to deliver some surprises, and unlike the last dreadful year, hopefully, those surprises will be for the better.

Content in this material is for general information only and not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. All indices are unmanaged and may not be invested into directly. The economic forecasts set forth in this material may not develop as predicted and no strategy assures success or protects against loss. Investing involves risk including loss of principal.

 

Integrated Financial Group

Kevin Garrett – Integrated Financial Group

My firm specializes in working with people that experience what we call “Sudden Income.” Typically the income came from one of these events:

1) Accessing and Managing Retirement Assets

2) A Performance Contract (Typically a Sports or Entertainment Contract)

3) Divorce Settlement

4) Inheritance or Insurance Payout

5) Sale of a Business or Stock Options

6) A Personal Injury Settlement

I believe the unique nature of these events requires specialized professional experience, empathy, and communication to deal with both the financial changes and the life changes that inevitably come with them.

My clients value my ability to simplify complex strategies into an actionable plan. They also appreciate that I am open, non-judging, and easy to talk to about their dreams and fears. Each client defines financial success differently and my goal is to guide them from where they are now to where they want to be. As my client’s advisor, my goal is to provide them with a lifetime income stream, improving returns, protecting their funds, and managing taxes.

Firm Specialties:

    • Retirement Planning For Business Owners & Executives
    • Woman’s Unique Financial Planning Needs
    • Professional Athletes
    • Investment/Asset Allocation Advice
    • Estate Planning
    • Risk Management
    • Strategic Planning

Kevin was listed in The Wall Street Journal as “One of the Financial Advisors In The Southeast That You Need To Know”

Kevin was listed in Forbes Magazine’s Annual Financial Edition as a Five Star Financial Advisor

Kevin has been awarded the Five Star Professional Wealth Manager in Atlanta Magazine in 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017,2018, and 2019.

Award based on 10 objective criteria associated with providing quality services to clients such as credentials, experience, and assets under management among other factors. Wealth managers do not pay a fee to be considered or placed on the final list of Five Star Wealth Managers.

KEVIN GARRETT, AWMA, CFS

Integrated Financial Group

200 Ashford Center North, Ste. 400 | Atlanta, GA 30338

Phone | 770.353.6311

Email | kgarrett@intfingroup.com

Website | kevingarrettifg.com

 

Kevin Garrett Named Five Star Wealth Manager

Market Commentary – November 3, 2020

The October 2020 issue of Atlanta Magazine, in partnership with an independent research firm QMI Research, named Kevin Garrett as a 2020 FIVE Star Wealth Manager. This is the seventh consecutive year (2014-2020) that he has received this award and the eighth (2012) in nine years. Kevin is a partner of Integrated Financial Group, a consortium of professional advisors.

“I’m appreciative of the recognition of this award. While it’s great to be included in this group, we always strive to improve our client’s experiences, like our Return On Life program which is designed to give our clients the best chance to live their ideal life,” Garrett commented.

Kevin specializes in employee compensation planning such as stock options for business executives. He also works with women going through a life transition such as a divorce or death of a spouse, as well as professional athletes and their family.

The Five Star program is the largest and most widely published wealth manager award program in North America. As part of the updated research process for the Five Star Wealth Manager program, firms and peers nominate award candidates. Award candidates are evaluated against 10 objective criteria to determine the Five Star Wealth Managers in more than 40 major markets.

The updated Five Star Wealth Manager award process includes:

Eligibility Criteria – Required:

    1. Credentialed as an investment advisory representative or a registered investment advisor.
    2. Actively employed as a credentialed professional in the financial services industry for a minimum of five years.
    3. Favorable regulatory and compliant history review.
    4. Fulfilled their firm review based on internal firm standard.
    5. Accepting new clients.

Evaluation Criteria – Considered:

    1. One-year client retention rate.
    2. five-year client retention rate.
    3. Non-institutional discretionary and/or non-discretionary client assets administered.
    4. Number of client households served.
    5. Educations and professional designations.

 3,314 Atlanta wealth managers were considered for the award; 268 (8% of candidates) were named 2020 Five Star Wealth Managers

You can see the listing in the October edition of ATLANTA Magazine.

Integrated Financial Group

Kevin Garrett – Integrated Financial Group

My firm specializes in working with people that experience what we call “Sudden Income.” Typically the income came from one of these events:

1) Accessing and Managing Retirement Assets

2) A Performance Contract (Typically a Sports or Entertainment Contract)

3) Divorce Settlement

4) Inheritance or Insurance Payout

5) Sale of a Business or Stock Options

6) A Personal Injury Settlement

I believe the unique nature of these events requires specialized professional experience, empathy, and communication to deal with both the financial changes and the life changes that inevitably come with them.

My clients value my ability to simplify complex strategies into an actionable plan. They also appreciate that I am open, non-judging, and easy to talk to about their dreams and fears. Each client defines financial success differently and my goal is to guide them from where they are now to where they want to be. As my client’s advisor, my goal is to provide them with a lifetime income stream, improving returns, protecting their funds, and managing taxes.

Firm Specialties:

    • Retirement Planning For Business Owners & Executives
    • Woman’s Unique Financial Planning Needs
    • Professional Athletes
    • Investment/Asset Allocation Advice
    • Estate Planning
    • Risk Management
    • Strategic Planning

Kevin was listed in The Wall Street Journal as “One of the Financial Advisors In The Southeast That You Need To Know”

Kevin was listed in Forbes Magazine’s Annual Financial Edition as a Five Star Financial Advisor

Kevin has been awarded the Five Star Professional Wealth Manager in Atlanta Magazine in 2012, 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017,2018, and 2019.

Award based on 10 objective criteria associated with providing quality services to clients such as credentials, experience, and assets under management among other factors. Wealth managers do not pay a fee to be considered or placed on the final list of Five Star Wealth Managers.

KEVIN GARRETT, AWMA, CFS

Integrated Financial Group

200 Ashford Center North, Ste. 400 | Atlanta, GA 30338

Phone | 770.353.6311

Email | kgarrett@intfingroup.com

Website | kevingarrettifg.com